I Think Punditry Serves No Purpose.

The Key To Making A Good Forecast Is Not In Limiting Yourself To Quantitative Information.

We Need To Stop, And Admit It: We Have A Prediction Problem. We Love To Predict Things—and We Aren’t Very Good At It.

There's Always The Risk That There Are Unknown Unknowns.

The Quest For Certainty In Forecasting Outcomes Can Be The Enemy Of Progress.

I Know It's Cheaper To Fund An Op-ed Columnist Than A Team Of Reporters, But I Think It Confuses The Mission Of What These Great Journalistic Brands Are About.