If There Is Time To Reflect, Slowing

Doubting What You See Is A Very Odd Experience. And Doubting What You Remember Is A Little Less Odd Than Doubting What You See. But It's Also A Pretty Odd Experience, Because Some Memories Come With A Very Compelling Sense Of Truth About Them, And That Happens To Be The Case Even For Memories That Are Not True.

We Are Prone To Overestimate How Much We Understand About The World And To Underestimate The Role Of Chance In Events.

Alternative Descriptions Of The Same Reality Evoke Different Emotions And Different Associations.

Policy Makers, Like Most People, Normally Feel That They Already Know All The Psychology And All The Sociology They Are Likely To Need For Their Decisions. I Don't Think They Are Right, But That's The Way It Is.

I Would Not Advise People To Buy A Car Or House Without Making A List. You Will Probably Improve Your Intuitions By Making A List And Then Sleeping On It.