One Might As Well Try To Perform

Inflation Is Certainly Low And Stable And, Measured In Unemployment And Labour-market Slack, The Economy Has Made A Lot Of Progress. The Pace Of Growth Is Disappointingly Slow, Mostly Because Productivity Growth Has Been Very Slow, Which Is Not Really Something Amenable To Monetary Policy. It Comes From Changes In Technology, Changes In Worker Skills And A Variety Of Other Things, But Not Monetary Policy, In Particular.

We’ve Never Had A Decline In House Prices On A Nationwide Basis. So, What I Think What Is More Likely Is That House Prices Will Slow, Maybe Stabilize, Might Slow Consumption Spending A Bit. I Don’t Think It’s Going To Drive The Economy Too Far From Its Full Employment Path, Though.

It's True That The Federal Reserve Faces A Lot Of Political Pressure And Is Unpopular In Many Circles.

There's No Denying That A Collapse In Stock Prices Today Would Pose Serious Macroeconomic Challenges For The United States. Consumer Spending Would Slow, And The U.s. Economy Would Become Less Of A Magnet For Foreign Investors. Economic Growth, Which In Any Case Has Recently Been At Unsustainable Levels, Would Decline Somewhat. History Proves, However, That A Smart Central Bank Can Protect The Economy And The Financial Sector From The Nastier Side Effects Of A Stock Market Collapse.

Nobody Really Understands Gold Prices And I Don't Pretend To Understand Them Either.