The Signal Is The Truth. The Noise

The Problem Is That When Polls Are Wrong, They Tend To Be Wrong In The Same Direction. If They Miss In New Hampshire, For Instance, They All Miss On The Same Mistake.

People Gravitate Toward Information That Implies A Happier Outlook For Them.

Remember, The Congress Doesn't Get As Many Opportunities To Make An Impression With The Public.

Every Day, Three Times Per Second, We Produce The Equivalent Of The Amount Of Data That The Library Of Congress Has In It's Entire Print Collection, Right? But Most Of It Is Like Cat Videos On Youtube Or Thirteen-year-olds Exchanging Text Messages About The Next 'twilight' Movie.

I Don't Think That Somebody Who Is Observing Or Predicting Behavior Should Also Be Participating In The 'experiment.'