I Actually Buy The Paper Version Of

Race Is Still The No. 1 Determinant In Every Election.

You Get Steely Nerves Playing Poker.

We Want To Get 80%-85% Of Predictions Right, Not 100%. Or Else We Calibrated Our Estimates In The Wrong Way.

We're Not That Much Smarter Than We Used To Be, Even Though We Have Much More Information - And That Means The Real Skill Now Is Learning How To Pick Out The Useful Information From All This Noise.

People Still Don't Appreciate How Ephemeral Success Is.