You Get Steely Nerves Playing Poker.

The Public Is Even More Pessimistic About The Economy Than Even The Most Bearish Economists Are.

To The Extent That You Can Find Ways Where You're Making Predictions, There's No Substitute For Testing Yourself On Real-world Situations That You Don't Know The Answer To In Advance.

Not Only Does Political Coverage Often Lose The Signal—it Frequently Accentuates The Noise.

Data-driven Predictions Can Succeed-and They Can Fail. It Is When We Deny Our Role In The Process That The Odds Of Failure Rise. Before We Demand More Of Our Data, We Need To Demand More Of Ourselves.

I Have To Think About How To Not Spread Myself Too Thin. It's A Really Great Problem To Have.