First Of All, I Think It's Odd

We're Living In A World Where Google Beats Gallup.

We're Not That Much Smarter Than We Used To Be, Even Though We Have Much More Information - And That Means The Real Skill Now Is Learning How To Pick Out The Useful Information From All This Noise.

Almost Everyone's Instinct Is To Be Overconfident And Read Way Too Much Into A Hot Or Cold Streak.

I Know It's Cheaper To Fund An Op-ed Columnist Than A Team Of Reporters, But I Think It Confuses The Mission Of What These Great Journalistic Brands Are About.

The Key To Making A Good Forecast Is Not In Limiting Yourself To Quantitative Information.