Mind Is A Machine For Jumping To

When People Think Of The Outcomes Of Their Decisions, They Think Much More Short Term Than That. They Think In Terms Of Gains And Losses.

If You're Going To Be Unreligious, It's Likely Going To Be Due To Reflecting On It And Finding Some Things That Are Hard To Believe.

Mind Is A Machine For Jumping To Conclusions

However, Optimism Is Highly Valued, Socially And In The Market; People And Firms Reward The Providers Of Dangerously Misleading Information More Than They Reward Truth Tellers. One Of The Lessons Of The Financial Crisis That Led To The Great Recession Is That There Are Periods In Which Competition, Among Experts And Among Organizations, Creates Powerful Forces That Favor A Collective Blindness To Risk And Uncertainty.

Most People Are Highly Optimistic Most Of The Time.